KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: At least 40% (98%)
Sonuçlandı: 9 Eki 2026 05:09
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
At least 40%
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
—
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
9 Eki 2026 05:00 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
At least 45%99%
At least 40%64%
At least 45%Kaybetti
At least 40%Kazandı
At least 30%Kaybetti
At least 35%Kaybetti
At least 55%Kaybetti
At least 50%Kaybetti
At least 20%Kaybetti
At least 65%Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If the Conservatives get ≥100 seats in the next general election, will the PM at the end of 2027 be Labour?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketWill Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Arşivlenmiş etkinlik düzeyi kurallar. Her sonucun kesin şartları artık mevcut değil.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Labour Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.