KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: At least 25% (98%)
Sonuçlandı: 9 Eki 2026 05:08
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
At least 25%
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
—
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
9 Eki 2026 05:00 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
At least 30%99%
At least 25%87%
At least 5%0%
At least 10%0%
At least 40%10%
At least 20%99%
At least 30%Kaybetti
At least 20%Kaybetti
At least 25%Kazandı
At least 15%Kaybetti
At least 40%Kaybetti
At least 35%Kaybetti
At least 5%Kaybetti
At least 10%Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsIf Zack Polanski is not leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWill the New Zealand Green Party get 15.00% of the party vote or more at the 2026 Election?
Manifold MarketsIf the PM after the next election is Green, will hitting children be banned in England within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Arşivlenmiş etkinlik düzeyi kurallar. Her sonucun kesin şartları artık mevcut değil.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
