KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Before Jul 16, 2026 (99%)
Sonuçlandı: 14 Tem 2026 15:15
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Uzlaşma kaynağı
- Geçerli sonuç
- Before Jul 16, 2026
- Kaydedildi
- 16 Tem 2026 07:39
- Gözlemler
- 1
- Düzeltmeler
- 0
- Yöntem
- resolution_watch
Güncel ima edilen olasılıkBefore Jan 1, 2027 100%7 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺48,9 B
Likidite
₺13,1 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
13 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Haz 26 17:0016 Tem 26 3:59
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Before Jun 28, 20261%
Before Jul 4, 20261%
Before Jan 1, 2027100%
Before Aug 1, 202699%
Before Jul 16, 202699%
99%
1%
5%
1%
3%
99%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· Before Jan 1, 2027
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Düşük | 100% | — | ₺48,9 B | ₺13,1 Mn | 13 gün önce | |
 Manifold Markets%75 eşleşme · oto | — | 98% | — | — | — | 16 gün önce | Aç → |
Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
By what date will the 21st Century Road to Housing Act become law?
5ay
+6.1pt97.9%
+6.9pt97.8%
+6.5pt97.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini6 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSKurallar
If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An example of such a bill is here.
- Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million).
- Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.
- Clarification: A bill satisfies the Payout Criterion if it establishes a baseline prohibition or tax on institutional investors buying single-family homes, regardless of specific statutory carve-outs, asset exemptions, or firm-size thresholds.
- For example, the May 14 House-amended version of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act qualifies because it explicitly bans these purchases, and the inclusion of various transaction exceptions (such as build-to-rent programs) does not disqualify it.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Büyük işlemler
$5.0k99.9%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes17 gün önce
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes17 gün önce$1.3k99.9%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes17 gün önce
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes17 gün önce$4.8k98.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 16, 2026 — Yes19 gün önce
KALSHIBefore Jul 16, 2026 — Yes19 gün önce$2.9k98.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 7, 2026 — No22 gün önce
KALSHIBefore Jul 7, 2026 — No22 gün önceHacim trendi
$1.0k2 Tem13g veri14 Tem
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If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An example of such a bill is here.
- Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million).
- Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.
- Clarification: A bill satisfies the Payout Criterion if it establishes a baseline prohibition or tax on institutional investors buying single-family homes, regardless of specific statutory carve-outs, asset exemptions, or firm-size thresholds.
- For example, the May 14 House-amended version of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act qualifies because it explicitly bans these purchases, and the inclusion of various transaction exceptions (such as build-to-rent programs) does not disqualify it.