KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkHayır 91%
Piyasa kalitesi
66 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺47,4
Likidite
₺819,6 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
8.2% / 9.0%
Spread
0.8 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce guncellendi
12 Şub 26 15:001 Oca 27 4:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Yes9%
Platformları karşılaştır· No
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Orta | 91% | +82pt | ₺47,4 | ₺819,6 B | 7 dakika önce | |
 PolymarketEn aktif%85 eşleşme · oto | Orta | 93% | +84pt | ₺1,4 B | ₺399,2 B | 7 dakika önce | Aç → |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
7.0 pts5ay
+0.1pt92.1%
-0.1pt7.9%
58 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim₺1,2 Mn
24s Hacim₺1,4 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If any federal or state court finds that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For clarity, the following do not satisfy this judgment criterion: findings of procedural irregularities, administrative errors, statutory violations related to election administration procedures (e.g., ballot curing deadlines, signature matching standards, observer access), or violations of election law that do not involve intentional fraud or deliberate manipulation of votes.
- Individual criminal prosecutions or guilty pleas for isolated acts of voter fraud (e.g., a single individual casting an illegal ballot) do not satisfy this criterion, even if the conduct occurred in connection with the 2020 election.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$13 Tem22g veri28 Tem
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If any federal or state court finds that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For clarity, the following do not satisfy this judgment criterion: findings of procedural irregularities, administrative errors, statutory violations related to election administration procedures (e.g., ballot curing deadlines, signature matching standards, observer access), or violations of election law that do not involve intentional fraud or deliberate manipulation of votes.
- Individual criminal prosecutions or guilty pleas for isolated acts of voter fraud (e.g., a single individual casting an illegal ballot) do not satisfy this criterion, even if the conduct occurred in connection with the 2020 election.