KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Before Jan 1, 2027 21%+1.0pt
Piyasa kalitesi
49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺437,7
Likidite
₺539,6 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
17.0% / 21.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
7 Tem 26 16:37 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketNigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiShawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
KalshiWill Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Nigel FarageThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersReform UKCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.0pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺85,4 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.3pt53.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44.4%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.6%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt86%
- Republican Party-2.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺24,2 Mn
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51%
- Jon Husted+2.0pt49%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺148,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺20,1 Mn
KALSHIIowa Senate winner?
- Ashley Hinson+3.0pt65.7%
- Josh Turek-3.0pt34.3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺121,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺17,1 Mn
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Maine Senate winner?
- Florida Governor winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- TX-15 House winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
Sık sorulan sorular
- Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before Jan 1, 2027 için 21% fiyatlıyor.
- Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.