KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa kapandı ve doğrulanmış sonucu bekliyor.
Doğrulanmış sonuç bekleniyor
CoinRithm bu piyasayı sonuçlanmış saymadan önce sağlayıcı onaylı sonucu bekler.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıCanlı kotasyon yok
27 Eki 2026 14:07 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Before Jan 1, 2027 6%
Before Jan 1, 2027 6%Piyasa kalitesi
32 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Açık pozisyon
$11 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
- / 100.0%
Piyasa verileri
17 dakika önce güncellendi
7 Tem 26 16:37 UTC1 Eyl 26 03:59 UTC
Trendler
Before Jan 1, 20276%
Before Sep 1, 2026Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketNigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026?
Manifold MarketsJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiJohn Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiKurallar
Bu sonucun kesin kuralı mevcut değil.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Nigel FarageThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersReform UKCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.