KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkBefore September 1, 2026 6%-1.1pt4 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
73 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺25,1 B
Likidite
₺13,8 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
5.4% / 5.5%
Spread
0.1 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
22 dakika önce guncellendi
6 Oca 26 21:001 Eyl 26 14:00
Trendler
0%
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Before September 1, 20266%
Platformları karşılaştır· Before September 1, 2026
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Orta | 6% | — | ₺25,1 B | ₺13,8 Mn | 22 dakika önce | |
 PolymarketEn aktif%80 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Orta | 30% | — | ₺30,7 B | ₺792,2 B | 22 dakika önce | Aç → |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
0.5 ptsKapalı
-0.5pt30%
-0.2pt0%
0%
62 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺98,9 Mn
24s Hacim₺30,7 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$5302 Tem27g veri28 Tem
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If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.