KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Before December 1, 2026 16%-37.0pt5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
65 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺6 B
Likidite
₺6,9 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
22 Ağu 26 21:00 UTC1 Kas 26 15:00 UTC
Trendler
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsCuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel captured or killed in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.0pt81.2%
- Yes-13.0pt18.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺846,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺57,3 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+3.0pt50%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt33.3%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt14.7%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.2pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.5pt13%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,7 Mn
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-3.0pt62.4%
- Nithya Raman+4.0pt37.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺36 Mn
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt35.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Sık sorulan sorular
- Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 15 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before December 1, 2026 için 16% fiyatlıyor.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Kasım 2026.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket.