Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Reform UK 90%5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
100 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺6,9 Mn
Likidite
₺5,8 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
91.0% / 92.0%
Spread
1.1%
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
17 dakika önce guncellendi
7 Tem 26 14:451 Eyl 27 14:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Reform UK90%
Platformları karşılaştır· Reform UK
24s hacme göre sıralı
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Clacton by-election Winner
11ay
90%
50%
50%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
100 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim₺17,6 Mn
24s Hacim₺17,6 Mn
POLYMARKET
Smarkets üzerinde de mevcut
Clacton By-Election - Winner
0%
12.2%
0%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
49 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim₺999,5 B
24s Hacim₺999,5 B
SMARKETSKurallar
If Reform UK wins the 2026 Clacton by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$146.3k7 Tem2g veri8 Tem
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If Reform UK wins the 2026 Clacton by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.