KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Hike 1-25bps · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
Kayıtlı fiyat
Hike 1-25bps 75%5 seçenek arasında lider
Hike 1-25bps 75%Piyasa kalitesi
36 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Açık pozisyon
$3,2 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
Hike 1-25bpsSpread
—
Piyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
25 Ağu 26 18:00 UTC17 Ara 26 13:14 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Hike 1-25bps
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
European Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiSwiss National Bank rate decision in December
KalshiCzech National Bank rate decision in November
KalshiBank of Mexico rate decision in December
KalshiWill Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExKurallar
If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Her sonucun kuralı
- Hike 1-25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Maintain current rate
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Maintain current rate at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut more than 25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 1-25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike more than 25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 · 25 bps increase 76%
