KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkRobert F. Kennedy Jr. 31%+3.0pt21 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
61 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺54,1 B
Likidite
₺2,9 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
11.0% / 15.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
13 dakika önce guncellendi
22 May 26 18:0020 Oca 29 15:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Pete Hegseth15%
Platformları karşılaştır· Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Orta | 31% | 0pt | ₺54,1 B | ₺2,9 Mn | 13 dakika önce | |
 Polymarket%80 eşleşme · oto | Orta | 34% | +3pt | ₺1,4 B | ₺2,2 Mn | 13 dakika önce | Aç → |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
0.5 pts5ay
+0.5pt40.5%
-0.5pt29.3%
+1.9pt8.6%
+26 daha fazla sonuç
60 • Orta kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺1,3 Mn
24s Hacim₺1,4 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- Acting roles are not included.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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$1.1k2 Tem27g veri28 Tem
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If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- Acting roles are not included.