KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Magnitude of at least 5.4 (98%)
Sonuçlandı: 26 Eki 2026 12:00
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Magnitude of at least 5.620%
Magnitude of at least 5.480%
Magnitude of at least 5.811%
Magnitude of at least 5.294%
Magnitude of at least 6.21%
Magnitude of at least 7.01%
Magnitude of at least 6.61%
Magnitude of at least 6.025%
Magnitude of at least 6.81%
Magnitude of at least 6.41%
Magnitude of at least 5.2Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 87% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.4Kazandı
Kapanıştan önce: 78% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.0Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 43% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.6Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 44% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.8Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 43% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.2Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 15% ·
Magnitude of at least 7.0Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 13% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.6Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 15% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.8Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 17% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.4Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 13% ·
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 27, 2026?
PolymarketWhat will the biggest earthquake be on October 28, 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Kalshi8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KalshiKurallar
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 26, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 26, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 26, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 26, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 26, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 26, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 26, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 26, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 26, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 26, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 26, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.