KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Sanction (99%)
Sınırlı sonuç kanıtı
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Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
24 Ağu 2026 17:30 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Sanction 99%23 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺2,2 Mn
Likidite
₺2,1 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
5 saat önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Ağu 26 12:158 Eyl 26 14:00
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Sanction94%
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation99%
Nuclear35%
Event does not qualify0%
Blockade1%
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency1%
Iran / Iranian (5+ times)80%
China / Chinese1%
Hormuz1%
Inflation1%
Tariff1%
Economic D-Day / Economic Fury1%
Trump (3+ times)80%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline78%
Russia / Russian1%
Stock Market1%
GDP1%
Tax Cut / Cut Tax1%
Israel / Israeli1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence0%
Ceasefire1%
America First1%
Drone1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Kurallar
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Press Conference originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Press Conference originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Scott Bessent speaking in an official capacity.
