KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Apr 1, 2027 49%7 seçenek arasında lider
Before Apr 1, 2027 49%Piyasa kalitesi
26 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺5 B
Açık pozisyon
$134
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
16 Eki 26 16:08 UTC1 Nis 27 03:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Apr 1, 2027
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?
KalshiEd Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?
KalshiShawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
KalshiDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiWill Scott Bessent leave the position of Secretary of Treasury by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho of Howard Lutnick and Scott Bessent will be fired first?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Scott BessentThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersthe Department of the Treasurythe White HouseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Being considered for or named to another position does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Scott Bessent will cease to be Secretary of the Treasury. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
