KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Grüne 36.6%-6.0pt7 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
46 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺198,7
Likidite
₺779,8 B
Orta likiditeSpread
6.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
24 Ağu 26 21:00 UTC20 Eyl 27 16:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
KalshiBrazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)
KalshiBrazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)
KalshiSweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
PolymarketKurallar
If CDU finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- The party awarded the 4th-highest number of Abgeordnetenhaus seats in the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin's final certified seat allocation resolves YES.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt55%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.2pt43%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,1 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-3.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Berlin State Election: 4th Place için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Grüne için 37% fiyatlıyor.
- Berlin State Election: 4th Place ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Berlin State Election: 4th Place için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Eylül 2027.
- Berlin State Election: 4th Place nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If CDU finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Berlin State Election: 4th Place başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket.