GeminiSınırlı doğrulanmış veriGüncel ima edilen olasılık
JD Vance 18.5%11 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
48 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺5,6 B
Likidite
₺0
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
18 dakika önce guncellendi
19 Şub 26 18:2810 Kas 28 0:00
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
JD Vance19%
Platformları karşılaştır· JD Vance
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiGenel en iyi%80 eşleşme · bağlantılı | Yüksek | 18% | -2pt | ₺20,3 Mn | ₺1,9 Mr | 18 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Polymarket%85 eşleşme · oto | Orta | 20% | 0pt | ₺20,1 Mn | ₺2,4 Mr | 18 dakika önce | Aç → |
| GeminiBu sayfa | Düşük | 19% | -1pt | ₺5,6 B | ₺0 | 18 dakika önce | |
 Futuur%85 eşleşme · bağlantılı | Düşük | 28% | +8pt | ₺0 | ₺866,2 B | 18 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Myriad%83 eşleşme · bağlantılı | Düşük | 42% | +22pt | ₺0 | ₺0 | 18 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Smarkets%85 eşleşme · bağlantılı | Düşük | 18% | -2pt | ₺12,6 B | ₺0 | 18 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Limitless%91 eşleşme · oto | Düşük | 50% | +30pt | ₺0 | ₺0 | 18 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Manifold Markets%85 eşleşme · bağlantılı | — | 18% | -2pt | — | — | 18 dakika önce | Aç → |
Limitless üzerinde de mevcut
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2y
50%
50%
50%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
22 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺790,8 B
24s Hacim₺0
LIMITLESSPolymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2y
20%
-0.2pt12%
12%
+125 daha fazla sonuç
74 • Orta kaliteDar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺31,8 Mr
24s Hacim₺20,1 Mn
POLYMARKETManifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2y
-0.3pt17.5%
16.5%
+0.2pt15.2%
+42 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini1.008 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSSmarkets üzerinde de mevcut
2028 Presidential Election Winner
17.5%
10.9%
10%
+37 daha fazla sonuç
27 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim₺15,4 Mn
24s Hacim₺12,6 B
SMARKETSFutuur üzerinde de mevcut
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
3ay
28%
28%
26%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
42 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺0
24s Hacim₺0
FUTUURMyriad üzerinde de mevcut
US Presidential Election Winner 2028
5.7 pts2y
-0.1pt41.6%
-0.1pt19.8%
+0.2pt10.8%
+28 daha fazla sonuç
30 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺0
24s Hacim₺0
MYRIADKalshi üzerinde de mevcut
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0.5 pts3y
17%
17%
11.3%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
89 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺2,6 Mr
24s Hacim₺20,3 Mn
KALSHIKurallar
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Büyük işlemler
$1.3k83.0%KALSHIMarco Rubio — Noevvelsi gün
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KALSHITucker Carlson — No3 gün önce$1.4k13.9%POLYMARKETWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — YesBigRabbit3 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — YesBigRabbit3 gün önce$3.7k19.9%POLYMARKETWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yespizzabillgates3 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yespizzabillgates3 gün önce$1.8k98.5%POLYMARKETWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — NoGummy-Brisket3 gün önce
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Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.