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This event predicts whether Donald Trump’s net favorability will be positive on December 20, 2026, as calculated by RealClearPolitics’ Poll Average.
- For this market, net favorability is defined as the percentage approving minus the percentage disapproving.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the RealClearPolitics poll average published on its official website for that date.
- If the net favorability value (Approve minus Disapprove) is greater than 0.0 on December 20, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If the RealClearPolitics page is unavailable or ambiguous on that date, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on archived versions or consistent reporting from major news organizations citing the RCP average.