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How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
KalshiHow many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
KalshiWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats win at least 222 seats? // Will Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any time between January 20, 2025, and January 20, 2029, the U.S. House of Representatives approves one or more articles of impeachment against President Donald J. Trump by a simple majority vote.
- A formal impeachment inquiry, committee vote, or the introduction of articles of impeachment without a full House vote will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.Trial, conviction, or removal by the U.S. Senate is not required for this market to resolve as “Yes.”This market will resolve to “No” if no such vote occurs within the specified time period.
- The primary resolution source will be official records from the U.S. House of Representatives, including the Congressional Record or official statements from the Clerk of the House.
- If such records are unavailable or ambiguous, resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting from major, independent news organizations.
- If the U.S. House of Representatives ceases to exist or its authority to conduct impeachment is removed before January 20, 2029, the market will be canceled, and all active wagers will be returned to their respective forecaster at their original purchase price.
