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This event predicts whether Greenland will become an independent sovereign state at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, independence means Greenland formally ceasing to be part of the Kingdom of Denmark and being recognized by its own authorities as a sovereign state.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official declarations or legally binding acts by Greenlandic and Danish authorities confirming independence.
- If Greenland formally declares and implements independence from Denmark during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Referendums or negotiations alone, without formal independence taking effect, will not count.
