FutuurKullanılabilirliği kontrol etDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 91%
Hayır 91%Piyasa kalitesi
34 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺3,7 B
Likidite
₺56 B
Düşük likiditeİşlemciler
10
Yorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
1 dakika önce güncellendi
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be arrested in 2026?
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PolymarketWill Jair Bolsonaro leave prison by the end of January 2027?
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KalshiArrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026?
FutuurKurallar
This event predicts whether Eduardo Bolsonaro will physically return to Brazilian territory at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be verifiable confirmation of his presence in Brazil from authoritative public records or official statements by Brazilian authorities (e.g., Federal Police, Ministry of Justice), or other official documentation evidencing his presence in Brazil.
- If Eduardo Bolsonaro is confirmed to have physically returned to Brazil within this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Confirmation may come from at least one of: (i) an official announcement by Brazilian authorities, (ii) confirmed reporting by multiple credible news outlets, (iii) a public appearance or statement by Eduardo Bolsonaro from within Brazil, or (iv) court records or legal proceedings documenting his presence in Brazil.
- The Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will apply if official records are unavailable or ambiguous, relying on consistent reporting from major independent news organizations.