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This event predicts whether Israel’s sitting prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, will be convicted by an Israeli court at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official judgment/verdict issued by the competent Israeli court(s) in Netanyahu’s ongoing criminal proceedings, as reflected in official court records or official court communications.
- If an Israeli court issues a conviction against Benjamin Netanyahu in these criminal proceedings within this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- A conviction will count for "Yes" even if it is appealed, stayed, or later overturned.
- If official court documentation is not publicly accessible or is exceptionally unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from multiple major, editorially independent news organizations.
