Hibatullah Akhundzada still Taliban’s Supreme Commander through the end of 2026?
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This event predicts whether Hibatullah Akhundzada will remain in power as the Taliban’s supreme leader (Emir) through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Taliban communications and widely recognized governmental/international reporting identifying the Taliban’s supreme leader.
- If Hibatullah Akhundzada is still recognized as the Taliban’s supreme leader through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary absences will not affect resolution as long as he is officially recognized as leader.
- If leadership is disputed or official Taliban statements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.