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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. US bank failure by June 30?
US bank failure by June 30?

US bank failure by June 30?

0.5% (24h)One-OffBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy18d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 19%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

36 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

293,5 €

Liquidez

2,2 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

17.0% / 20.0%

Spread

17.6%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+8.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

26/05/26, 23:0530/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes19%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe.
  • If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,677.34+1.82%EthereumETH$1,654.67+1.28%SolanaSOL$65.00+1.01%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.16%XRPXRP$1.11+0.10%BNBBNB$595.84+1.45%

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe.
  • If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.