Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31 9%+2.5ptLíder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
24,5 €
Liquidez
9,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
1
Variação 7d
-8.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
21/05/26, 21:05 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Linda Sanchez win the California 38th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Linda Sanchez win the California 41st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?
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ForecastExVote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by the named outcome, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister.
- Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
