Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

2.0% (24h)5d

PolymarketNão disponível nos EUASem KYC2% de taxa

Qualidade do mercado 63 • Qualidade mediaMercado raso

Alertas

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Suporte à decisão

Probabilidade implícita atual

Tisza <9% 37%

Qualidade do mercado

63 / 100

Qualidade media

Compra / Venda

36.0% / 38.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 24 minutos

Ultima atualizacao: 6 de abr., 0:06

Resolve

12/04/2026, 00:00

Volume 24h

636 €

Liquidez

65,2 mil €

Spread

5.6%

Spread moderado

Variação 7d

Liquidez mediaMercado rasoAlta ambiguidade

Início 31/03/2026, 20:04Fim 12/04/2026, 00:00

Tendências

Nenhum dado de gráfico disponível.

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Tisza <9%

-2.0%37%

Other

-21%

Tisza 9-12%

+1.0%13%

Tisza 15-18%

+0.5%12%

Tisza 18%+

+0.5%11%

Tisza 12-15%

-10%

Regras

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

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