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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Fed
  3. ECB rate hike in 2026?
ECB rate hike in 2026?

ECB rate hike in 2026?

0.3% (24h)FedOne-Off6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 100%
Qualidade do mercado

79 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

938,8 €

Liquidez

9,3 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

99.6% / 99.8%

Spread

0.2%

Spread apertado
Variação 7d

+1.7%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

23/12/25, 22:4631/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Sim
Sim
100%
Não
Não
0%

Resultado escolhido

Yes100%

Manifold MarketsTambém disponível em Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

ECB rate hike in 2026?

6m
Manifold Markets
Sim
97.9%
Manifold Markets
Não
2.1%
Previsão da comunidade15 previsoresTipo: binary
Volume total8,2 mil €
Volume 24h1 mil €
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

Mercados Relacionados

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

158,1 mil €
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

88,3 mil €
Sim: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

72,2 mil €
Sim: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed decision in Jun 2026?

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

9,4 mil €
Fed maintains rate: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

921,1 €
Cut 25bps: 3%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,483.36+1.56%EthereumETH$1,648.48+1.14%SolanaSOL$64.91+0.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.0844+0.61%BNBBNB$593.79+1.04%XRPXRP$1.11-0.54%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.