Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)
70.0% (24h)
KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaEste mercado foi resolvido: Above 40 (97%)
Resolvido: 27 de mai. de 2026, 13:53
Resultado Vencedor
Above 40
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
51%
Probabilidade implícita atualAbove 40 97%+70.0%Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
807,1 €
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
96.0% / 97.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 dias
Desatualizado19/05/26, 14:1024/08/26, 14:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Above 4097%
Above 3099%
Above 501%
Above 2586%
Above 2098%
Above 1587%
Above 753%
Above 1099%
Above 1003%
Above 599%
97%
99%
1%
99%
98%
99%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Mercados Relacionados
Regras
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.