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US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

2.5% (24h)3m
KalshiKalshiApenas residentes dos EUAKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Qualidade do mercado 55Qualidade mediaMercado raso197 pt de divergencia

Alertas

Siga este mercado para criar alertas.

Suporte à decisão

Probabilidade implícita atual

Above 1.0% 89%

Qualidade do mercado

55 / 100

Qualidade media
Compra / Venda

89.0% / 90.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 13 minutos

Ultima atualizacao: 6 de abr., 0:20

Resolve

30/07/2026, 14:00

Volume 24h

142,7 €

Liquidez

2,3 mil €

Spread

1.1%

Spread apertado
Variação 7d

-

Baixa liquidezMercado raso
Início 24/01/2026, 15:00Fim 30/07/2026, 14:00

Tendências

Nenhum dado de gráfico disponível.
Resultado24hProbabilidade
Above 1.0%
Above 1.0%
-2.5%89%
Above 1.5%
Above 1.5%
-6.0%70%
Above 2.5%
Above 2.5%
-2.5%41%
Above 2.0%
Above 2.0%
-2.7%57%
Above 3.0%
Above 3.0%
-2.0%18%
Above 4.5%
Above 4.5%
-0.4%2%
Above 3.5%
Above 3.5%
-1.0%9%
Above 4.0%
Above 4.0%
-0.8%4%
Polymarket

Também disponível em Polymarket

197 pt de divergencia
KalshiKalshi
Ultima atualizacao: há 13 minutos
Above 1.0%
89%
Above 1.5%
70%
Above 2.0%
57%
Above 2.5%
41%
Volume

4,3 mil €

Volume 24h

142,7 €

Liquidez

2,3 mil €

Spread: Spread apertadoLiquidez: Baixa liquidez
Apenas residentes dos EUAKYC obrigatório2% de taxaLiquida em USD
PolymarketPolymarket
Ultima atualizacao: há 1 minuto
Above 1.0%
▼ 89pt-
Above 1.5%
▼ 70pt-
Above 2.0%
▼ 57pt-
Above 2.5%
▼ 41pt-
Volume

204,9 mil €

Volume 24h

972 €

Liquidez

15,4 mil €

Spread: Spread amploLiquidez: Baixa liquidez
Não disponível nos EUASem KYC2% de taxaLiquida em USDC
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

Regras

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q1 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
  • If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

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