Which party will lead in RCP Congressional generic ballot polling for Sept. 8?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing
PredictItGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistNiet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRetail prediction exchange
Niet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsdata: Democrats 5.5%-5.9% (99%)
Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 8 sep 2026, 15:00 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Dem<4.5%, Tie or GOP0%
Democrats 4.5%-4.9%0%
Democrats 5.0%-5.4%0%
Democrats 5.5%-5.9%99%
Democrats 6.0%-6.4%13%
Democrats 6.5%-6.9%5%
Democrats 7.0%-7.4%3%
Democrats 7.5%-7.9%2%
Democrats ≥ 8.0%0%
Democrats 5.5%-5.9%Resultaat in afwachting
Dem<4.5%, Tie or GOPResultaat in afwachting
Democrats 4.5%-4.9%Resultaat in afwachting
Democrats 5.0%-5.4%Resultaat in afwachting
Democrats 6.0%-6.4%Resultaat in afwachting
Democrats 6.5%-6.9%Resultaat in afwachting
Democrats 7.0%-7.4%Resultaat in afwachting
Democrats 7.5%-7.9%Resultaat in afwachting
Democrats ≥ 8.0%Resultaat in afwachting
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KalshiRegels
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the RealClearPolling average "2026 Generic Congressional Vote" leader and spread at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the difference between the two parties' support (currently labelled "Spread") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/08/2026 11:00 AM (ET)