Which of these Democratic candidates will announce a 2028 POTUS run first?
One-OffPolitiekAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing3j
PredictItBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistNiet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRetail prediction exchange
Huidige impliciete kans
Gavin Newsom 39%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Gavin Newsom 39%Methodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Vraagtype
-
24u volume
€ 0,9
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
20 mrt 26, 15:14 UTC7 feb 30, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the ‘Worst Democratic Candidates’ all win?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these Democratic senators that prevented the March 2025 Gov. shutdown lose their next primary?
Manifold MarketsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegels
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the first individual, among those named, to unambiguously and unconditionally announce that they will be a candidate in the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- No additional contracts shall be added to this market following its launch.
A statement or filing that an individual is considering or exploring a run for President shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to Yes.
In the event that the time and date upon which two or more of the listed individuals make qualifying announcements is identical or so similar as to be indistinguishable, as determined at PredictIt's sole discretion, the contract listing the individual with the first alphabetical last name among the individuals in question will resolve as Yes, while all other contracts will resolve as No.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.