What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Aug. 12?
49.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffUS Politics
PredictItGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistNiet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRetail prediction exchange
Deze markt is beslist: 39.1% to 39.3% (99%)
Niet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsdata
Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
Huidige impliciete kans
39.1% to 39.3% 99%+49.0ptKoploper van 9 uitkomsten
Methodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Vraagtype
-
24u volume
€ 162,6
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 dagen geleden
Verouderd5 aug 26, 17:1112 aug 26, 15:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
39.1% to 39.3%50%
38.8% to 39.0%0%
39.4% to 39.6%2%
37.8% or lower1%
37.9% to 39.1%1%
38.2% to 38.4%1%
38.5% to 38.7%1%
39.7% to 39.9%2%
40.0% or higher2%
99%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Regels
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify President Trump's average RealClearPolitics job approval rating at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
- Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the average job approval of President Trump (currently labelled "Approve" in the row labelled "RCP Average") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 08/12/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
