Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by which date?
10.9 ptn (24u)
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April 30 100%+10.9ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 83,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 12,9K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
0.1 pt
Strakke spread7d wijziging
+79.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 129 dagen geleden
Verouderd29 jan 26, 3:4331 mei 26, 0:00
Trends
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Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Rai-Oleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.8088° N, 37.8573° E) between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of Rai-Oleksandrivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.