Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)
Weather
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Afgewikkeld: 12 jan 2024, 20:02
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Huidige impliciete kans
Ja 100%
Marktkwaliteit
15 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 123 dagen geleden
Verouderd23 jun 23, 17:2531 dec 23, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2023 shows an increase of 1.03°C or greater when it is released.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An anomaly of 1.03°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether prior years' figures are revised.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt).
- If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
