Will Germany or Poland report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 18?
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Huidige impliciete kans
Germany 100%
Marktkwaliteit
15 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Bijgewerkt 122 dagen geleden
Verouderd8 nov 21, 0:0019 nov 21, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Germany100%
Poland0%
100%
0%
Regels
This is a market on whether Germany or Poland will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 18, 2021.
- This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for Germany and Poland, with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer.
- The resolution source will be checked on November 19th at 11 PM ET and - if the data for November 18 will not be available then - checked again every 12 hours, until the final check on November 24, 2021, 11 PM ET.
- If the data is not available by then, this market will resolve based on other credible sources.
- If Germany has a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita for the day of November 18, 2021, the market will resolve to "Germany." If Poland has a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita for the day of November 18, 2021, the market will resolve to "Poland." If the averages per capita are the same, the market will resolve 50/50. --------------------
- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide.