Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November?
Weather
PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: No
Afgewikkeld: 1 dec 2023, 07:04
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 100%
Marktkwaliteit
15 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 122 dagen geleden
Verouderd31 okt 23, 16:0930 nov 23, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between November 1 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/).
- If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market may only resolve to "No" after November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
- For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
- This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Open markten
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 25, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+81.0pt95.2%
- 89° or above1%
- 83° to 84°-51.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 344K
- 24u volume
- € 328,8K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 25, 2026?
- New Orleans+18.0pt99%
- Denver+11.0pt60%
- Oklahoma City+2.0pt14%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Aug 25, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+42.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-31.0pt1%
- 94° to 95°-11.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Aug 25, 2026?
- 78° or below+47.0pt94.2%
- 79° to 80°-34.0pt1.9%
- 81° to 82°-8.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 84 F on August 25, 2026?
- No90%
- Yes10%
- Totaal volume
- € 52K
- 24u volume
- € 52K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Aug 25, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+56.0pt95.2%
- 82° to 83°-20.0pt1%
- 78° to 79°-25.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 25, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Where will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Denver on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November??
- Polymarket prijst No op 100% per 25 april 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November? afgewikkeld?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November? wordt naar verwachting op 30 november 2023 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between November 1 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/).