Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15?
Weather
PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: No
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Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 100%
Marktkwaliteit
15 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 123 dagen geleden
Verouderd16 sep 21, 0:0015 okt 21, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regels
This market shall resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States between the launch of this market, September 16, 2021 at 3:00 PM ET, and 11:59:59 PM ET on October 14, 2021 as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories.
- The status of the hurricane at landfall and the approximate time of landfall as reported in the advisory indicating landfall will be used to resolve this market.
- If no tropical systems make landfall as hurricane status between the launch of this market and October 14, this market shall resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at ttps://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
- No retrospective analyses after the advisory indicating landfall will have any bearing on the resolution of this market.
