KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
0.1 pts (24u)One-OffPolitiekGeopolitiekMiddle East5mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansNee 93%
Marktkwaliteit
77 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 3,6K
Liquiditeit
€ 17,2K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
7.2% / 7.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Strakke spread7d wijziging
+3.9 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 minuten geleden
1 mei 26, 22:1531 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes7%
Volumetrend
$4.1k3 jul23d aan data27 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.