PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Lebanon 9%Koploper van 16 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
73 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 3,5K
Liquiditeit
€ 317,6K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-3.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
1 jun 26, 17:50 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiWho will recognize Palestine before 2027?
KalshiWill Israel recognize some other micronation again in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markten
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 25,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 107,6K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 104,5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31??
- Polymarket prijst Lebanon op 9% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? afgewikkeld?
- Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.