PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Very severe
Afgewikkeld: 30 okt 2026, 08:53
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Winnende Uitkomst
Very severe
Op 7 dagen afstand
—
Op 24 uur afstand
95%
ConsensusWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 31 okt 2026, 04:06 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Very severe95%
Extremely severe2%
Super0%
Severe cyclonic storm or weaker0%
Very severeGewonnen
Extremely severeVerloren
Severe cyclonic storm or weakerVerloren
SuperVerloren
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Arnab.
- Peak intensity means the highest category of cyclonic disturbance that the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for Tropical Cyclones, New Delhi (RSMC New Delhi), operated by the India Meteorological Department (IMD), assigns to Arnab's observed intensity in a Tropical Cyclone Advisory published for the storm.
- Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".
- RSMC New Delhi's own bounds, in 3-minute maximum sustained surface wind, are: "the named outcome" is under 64 kt, "the named outcome cyclonic storm" is 64 to 89 kt, "the named outcome cyclonic storm" is 90 to 119 kt, and "Super cyclonic storm" is 120 kt or more.
- RSMC New Delhi states the category in the subject line of each Tropical Cyclone Advisory and in the first row of the advisory's forecast table, which gives the storm's intensity at the observation time the advisory is based on.
- Only that observed intensity will be considered.
