PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 68%+33.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
38 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 130,4
Liquiditeit
€ 951,7
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
26.0% / 38.0%
Spread
12.0 pt
Brede spreadComments
0
7d wijziging
-37.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
20 jul 26, 19:541 jan 27, 4:59
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe.
- If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Open markten
Macro & EconomyPOLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-3.0pt72.3%
- No Change+5.5pt27.7%
- 50+ bps cut0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 47,5K
- 24u volume
- € 8,4K
KALSHIHow low will the S&P get this year?
- 6,300 or below+6.0pt23%
- 6,200 or below+3.0pt23%
- 6,100 or below15%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 687,1K
KALSHIFear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026?
- Greed-2.0pt54.5%
- Neutral+20.0pt43.1%
- Extreme Greed-6.0pt0.8%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-0.4pt64%
- 8,200 or above-2.2pt36%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 915,3K
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Productivity74%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
- Independent / Independence70%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 39K
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+2.0pt46%
- Above $4.80+7.0pt40%
- Above $5.0028%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- TSA avg check-ins from Aug 17 to 23, 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- US electricity price in August
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US bank failure by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket prijst No op 68% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US bank failure by December 31, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- US bank failure by December 31, 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US bank failure by December 31, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").