PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Colorado 92%Koploper van 40 uitkomsten
Colorado 92%Marktkwaliteit
25 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 180,3
Lage liquiditeitSpread
99.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
8 okt 26, 13:00 UTC15 okt 26, 13:00 UTC
Trends
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Bron: Polymarket
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- 5
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- 1 procentpunten
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of October 13, 2026?
PolymarketPercent of Cattle in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketPercent of Corn in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketPercent of Soybeans in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketWill a robot demonstrate exceptional speed, versatility, and performance in extreme environments by 2040?
Manifold MarketsNew York J: To Break Playoff Drought
KalshiRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 13, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for October: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.