Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?
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19 aug 26, 12:09 UTC8 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026.
- Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir both appear as candidates on the same party list submitted to the Central Elections Committee to contest the 2026 Knesset elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A list on which both individuals appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions either individual occupies on the list.
- If either individual does not appear on any party list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.