PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Yes (100%)
Afgewikkeld: 9 mei 2026, 19:45
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Winnende Uitkomst
Yes
Op 7 dagen afstand
—
Op 24 uur afstand
32%
VerrassingHuidige impliciete kansJa 100%+0.7pt
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 27,1 mln.
Liquiditeit
€ 2,4 mln.
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Strakke spread7d wijziging
+90.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 79 dagen geleden
Verouderd13 jan 26, 19:2430 jun 26, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.
Platforms vergelijken· Yes
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Laag | 100% | — | € 27,1 mln. | € 2,4 mln. | 79 dagen geleden | |
 Manifold Markets84% overeenkomst · auto | — | 3% | — | — | — | 28 dagen geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Gesloten
Afgerond
Nee (97.5%)
97.5%
2.5%
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling32 voorspellersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify.
- Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify.
- Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.