PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
October 31 75.5%-14.0ptMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
68 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 4,2K
Liquiditeit
€ 3,1K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
23.0% / 25.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
4 sep 26, 14:29 UTC31 okt 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Muse Spark 1.4+ (Meta) release date
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $72,000 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 467,1K
- 24u volume
- € 461,8K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+21.0pt60.6%
- 140-159+13.1pt23.2%
- 180-199-24.0pt14.1%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above98%
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+4.0pt71.5%
- Before March 2027+3.0pt19%
- Before 2027+2.0pt4.3%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- October 31+5.7pt99%
- December 31+3.0pt99%
- September 15-8.9pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-1.0pt88%
- OpenAI+0.6pt9%
- Google+0.8pt3%
+18 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date??
- Polymarket prijst October 31 op 76% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 31 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).