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Gegevens van 9 sep 2026, 02:05 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
<$2.50T 50%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
24 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
100.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
5 aug 26, 11:59 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWill Apple have a higher market cap than Microsoft at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI worth more than Microsoft by mid 2029
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI be more valuable than Microsoft before 2040?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWill Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
- If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
- Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time.
- If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class.
- Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
- The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
Open markten
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 248,7K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 96,6K
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026??
- Polymarket prijst <$2.50T op 50% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.