PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
6.5+ 98%-0.6ptKoploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
50 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 238,4
Liquiditeit
€ 1,9K
Lage liquiditeitSpread
3.7 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-1.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
17 aug 26, 18:02 UTC3 okt 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?
PolymarketHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
PolymarketHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhat will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRegels
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title occurring anywhere in the world, with an origin time between market creation and September 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
- A qualifying earthquake must be listed by USGS with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title and listed as occurring within the specified timeframe.
- Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
- If an earthquake with an origin time within this market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after September 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after September 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude and timestamp of the event in question.
- If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.