How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1.5 ptn (24u)WeatherYearly5mnd

PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Huidige impliciete kans

1250+ 88.8%-1.5pt

Koploper van 8 uitkomsten

Marktkwaliteit

55 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 160,9

Liquiditeit

€ 13,9K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

84.0% / 90.0%

Spread

6.0 pt

Brede spread

7d wijziging

-2.5 pts

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 21 minuten geleden

24 feb 26, 23:4910 jan 27, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

<950

950–999

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

1250+87%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S.

Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases.
The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.

Volumetrend

$183

4 jul25d aan data28 jul

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10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

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On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?

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€ 525,6

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How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

€ 473

Above 4: 21%

KALSHI

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$63,942.37-1.37%

EthereumETH$1,923.49-0.73%

SolanaSOL$74.34-1.91%

XRPXRP$1.06-2.64%

DogecoinDOGE$0.071-1.46%

HyperliquidHYPE$55.78-3.12%

Regels

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S.

Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases.
The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1.5 ptn (24u)WeatherYearly5mnd

PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Huidige impliciete kans

1250+ 88.8%-1.5pt

Koploper van 8 uitkomsten

Marktkwaliteit

55 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 160,9

Liquiditeit

€ 13,9K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

84.0% / 90.0%

Spread

6.0 pt

Brede spread

7d wijziging

-2.5 pts

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 21 minuten geleden

24 feb 26, 23:4910 jan 27, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

<950

950–999

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

1250+87%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S.

Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases.
The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.

Volumetrend

$183

4 jul25d aan data28 jul

Gerelateerde Markten

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

€ 46,3K

Ja: 1%

POLYMARKET

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

€ 8,1K

Ja: 37%

KALSHI

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

€ 1,8K

14–16: 46%

POLYMARKET

On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?

€ 773,1

Will Arthur reach Category 1 wind speeds?: 0%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

€ 525,6

<4m: 24%

POLYMARKET

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

€ 473

Above 4: 21%

KALSHI

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$63,942.37-1.37%

EthereumETH$1,923.49-0.73%

SolanaSOL$74.34-1.91%

XRPXRP$1.06-2.64%

DogecoinDOGE$0.071-1.46%

HyperliquidHYPE$55.78-3.12%

Regels

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S.

Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases.
The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.