How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
4-6 · —
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Opgeslagen referentie
4-6 97%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
4-6 97%Marktkwaliteit
42 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
€ 19,3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
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4-6Spread
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Reacties
3
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
10-12Verloren
13-15Verloren
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Marktdiepte · 4-6
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Manifold MarketsRegels
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September.
- This market will resolve according to the number of Republican House incumbents who do not win their nominating election to move on to the general election as a result of the 2026 midterm primary elections.
- An incumbent will be considered not to have won their election if they are not declared the winner of the election they sought, including if they withdraw, suspend, or otherwise leave the race at any point after officially registering as a candidate, regardless of the reason.
- Incumbents who do not officially register as candidates for reelection will not be considered.
- This market will resolve based on the results of all House nominating elections, including party primaries, top-two or jungle primaries, and primaries for special elections, that are scheduled to occur between March 1 and September 30, 2026.
- If a required runoff for any such election or a subsequent qualifying round in a non-partisan primary system could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that contest is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
