How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
6.5 ptn (24u)WeatherOne-Off3mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
1-3 48.4%+0.5ptKoploper van 4 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
64 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 762,7
Liquiditeit
€ 5,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+25.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
28 jul 26, 20:51 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will at least 5 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
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ForecastExWill the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15?
Manifold MarketsWhat month will be most active in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
- If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
- A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
- This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
- The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
