PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Les Républicains 97%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
68 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 11,4
Liquiditeit
€ 25,5K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
0.2 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-0.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
19 aug 26, 20:15 UTC12 okt 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.
- The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.
- This market will resolve according to which of the following three Senate groups holds the most French Senate seats as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST: the Groupe the named outcome, the Groupe Socialiste, Écologiste et Républicain (SER), or the Groupe the named outcome.
- The seat count for each group will be its total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).
- A group will qualify as one of the three listed groups if it satisfies at least one of the following: - Its official name includes the listed group's name or a clear variant thereof; - Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the listed group; or - It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the listed group, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
- A group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor French Senate Election: Most Seats??
- Polymarket prijst Les Républicains op 97% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt French Senate Election: Most Seats? afgewikkeld?
- French Senate Election: Most Seats? wordt naar verwachting op 12 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt French Senate Election: Most Seats? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.