Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
PolitiekOne-OffMiddle EastUS Politics4mnd
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Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 20:40 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 94.1%
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 4,5
Liquiditeit
€ 8,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
4.0% / 7.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-1.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd5 nov 25, 19:5831 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
