538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9?
Politiek
PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Democrats
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Democrats 100%
Marktkwaliteit
15 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 122 dagen geleden
Verouderd23 aug 22, 0:009 sep 22, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Democrats100%
Republicans0%
100%
0%
Regels
If the FiveThirtyEight graph titled "Do voters want Republicans or Democrats in Congress?" shows Democrats at a greater percentage of support than Republicans for the date of September 9, 2022, at check time, this market will resolve to "Democrats".
- If the same graph shows Republicans at a greater percentage of support than Democrats for September 9, 2022, at the time of the check, this market will resolve to "Republicans".
- If the same graph shows Democrats and Republicans at an equal percentage of support for the resolution date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is the FiveThirtyEight "Do voters want Republicans or Democrats in Congress?" graph, with the "POLL TYPE" option set to "Generic ballot" and the "CYCLE" option set to "2022".
- The graph is presently located at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates this graph's figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
